I recommend the book unreservedly for Middle East/North Africa FAOs, MI
Officers, and anyone else involved with the affairs of the region.
Submitted by: Major David F. DiMeo (48G), USCENTCOM Forward, Riyadh, Saudi
Arabia, Politico-Military Officer.
Gary G. Sick and Lawrence G. Potter, editors, The Persian Gulf at the Millennium: Essays in
Politics, Economy, Security, and Religion. New York: St. Martin's Press, 1997. 356 pages.
This timely and illuminating book takes a view of the Gulf rarely seen in the media. Its
focus is not on the well-reported struggle against Saddam, but rather on the lingering economic
and social problems that could produce conflict in the near future. As to be expected in a
collection of essays from different authors, some chapters are more useful than others.
The strongest section of the book deals with the coming economic crisis in the Gulf
monarchies. The 1970s oil boom set in place several negative trends. The first is the paradox of
importing up to 90% of the labor force from Third World countries while local citizens suffer
high unemployment rates. The education, social welfare and subsidy systems in the Gulf
monarchies make it very difficult to replace the foreign labor with local citizens. Extremely high
birth rates further exacerbate this problem. This particular challenge receives excellent
treatment from Gary Sick, Karim Pakravan and F. Gregory Cause. These chapters alone make
the book worth reading.
Equally impressive is Paul Stevens' chapter on the oil market, the effects of the current low
oil prices, and options for the future. Dr. Stevens does a fine job of explaining the different
interests and strategies of oil producing Gulf nations, reminding us that they are not often in
agreement. An essay by Karim Pakravan on economic privatization further reveals that there are
no quick and easy solutions to the economic challenges in the region. This section effectively
debunks the idea that the Gulf states are rolling in wealth and immune to economic problems.
Other topics are not discussed in sufficient detail or consistency. Several seen to be thrown
in because they were available, without contributing to the main focus of the book. There is an
excellent essay on the unrest in Bahrain by Munira Fakhro, but no other similar study, Bahrain
is, after all, a country of only 600,000 people. Similarly, Anthony Cordesman makes a very
detailed study of Iran's military capabilities, but we are given no other information to make a
comparison. Frank E. Vogel's essay on Islamism is merely another "grand theory" of political
Islam. Roy Mottahedeh provides a very interesting look into Iran's clerical leadership even if it
is somewhat detached from the main focus of the book.
In short, this book is worthwhile for any student of the Middle East. It offers many
surprising facts and insights, and looks beyond the current hot topics of Saddam, sanctions and
no-fly zones.
William Maley, editor, Fundamentalism Reborn? Afghanistan and the Taliban. New
York: New York University Press, 1998. 253 pages.
For those who want one good, comprehensive book on the Taliban in Afghanistan, this one
is a good choice. Well-written, concise, fairly current and challenging and insightful in its
analysis, this is a good overview for those who devote most of their time to other countries in the
region. The contributors include leading scholars like Olivier Roy and William Maley, as well
as journalists, UN and NGO officials. They come with different, often divergent viewpoints.
The book begins with the failure of the Rabbani government (1992-96), charts the origins
and subsequent rise of the Taliban movement, its setbacks and the shattered condition of the
country today. It does a fine job of identifying the key players in the struggle for Afghanistan:
Ahmad Shah Massoud, Defense Minister of the fallen government and now the leader of the
opposition against the Taliban; Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, the Mujihadeen leader who received most
of the U.S. assistance during the Afghan War in the 1980s, but who effectively scuttled the peace
after the Soviet withdrawal; and Abdul Rashid Dostum, who switched sides. The mysterious
leader of the Taliban, one-eyed Mullah Omar, however, remains a mystery. For clarifying who's
who and who supports whom, this book is worthwhile.
The book addresses questions like: Did the Taliban bring order to a chaotic environment, or
did they only terrorize the people into submission? The answer seems to lie somewhere between
the two extremes. It also addresses tough issues, like the role of the United States, Saudi
Arabia and Pakistan in creating the Taliban. Pakistan's complicity in the rise and domination of
the Taliban seems almost total. There is also the thorny matter of US and Saudi oil companies'
influence in the struggle in Afghanistan, as well as the very dramatic change in the official U.S.
view of the Taliban. The authors address Iranian, Russian, Central Asian and Indian policy as
well, showing how many foreign influences are at work in this struggle. They also provide a
serious analysis of the claim that this is essentially an ethnic conflict (Pushtun versus Tajik and
Hazari).
The book is well balanced -- there are no clear "good guys" in this struggle. Unfortunately
it provides little historical background; the editor assumes we all know the history up to the
Rabbani government of 1992. A chapter on the background of the Communist government,
Soviet invasion, and Mujahideen war would be helpful. The essays are well written and
practical, with the exception of the final chapter by Anthropologist M. Nazif Shahrani, which is
out of touch with the rest of the book. Nevertheless, if you are interested in Afghanistan and
have time for only one book, I recommend this one.

1999, Foreign Area Officer Association
Springfield,
Virginia
Maintained by LTC Steve
Gotowicki.
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