Asian Regional Reviews

The United States and Asia: Toward a New U.S. Strategy and Force Posture. By Zalmay Khalilzad, et al. Pages 260. Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 2001. Price $20, paperback.

By Major James M. Minnich, Northeast Asia Foreign Area Officer

Dr. Zalmay Khalilzad, former director of the Strategy and Doctrine Program of RAND's Project Air Force, serves as President Bush's newly appointed Special Assistant and Senior Director for Gulf, Southwest Asia and Other Regional Issues. Dr. Khalilzad has over twenty-years of combined experience in academia and national policy formulation.

The United States and Asia, a futures book, vividly analyzes the political environment of Asia and how it will effect the United States national interests. Considering the economic miracles of Asia during the last two decades, and the stabilizing role that the United States military provides to the region, Khalilzad, et al. suggest that a continued US involvement in the region is consistent with both our current and future national interests.

Specifically, Dr. Khalilzad, et al. advises that long-term national interests require the United States to directly intervene in Asia in order to achieve three necessary objectives (1) the prevention of a regional hegemon; (2) the maintenance of regional stability; and (3) the management of Asia's transformation.

Concurrently, Khalilzad, et al. recommend a detailed four-part strategy that will facilitate the attainment of these three objectives. First, the United States, where possible, should transform bilateral security alliances into multilateral security alliances. These alliances could then work to both strengthen and preserve Asia's security environment. Second, the United States should foster an effective regional balance of power in order to check any future aspirations of regional hegemony by China, India or Russia. Third, the United States, to preempt any miscalculated assumptions by potential adversaries, should forcefully articulate and manifest its regional interests. Finally, the United States should advocate the creation of a security forum for the entire Asian region.

Among the authors' critical analyses are their assertions that the enduring ability of the United States to continue its policy of forward-deployed military forces, in Japan and South Korea, is waning. Consequently, based on the technical operating capabilities of current and future United States Air Force fighter aircraft, the authors' suggest establishing United States military airfields in both the Philippines and Vietnam, locations that will permit the US to better influence its foreign policies in both Taiwan and throughout the South China Sea.

This book, both thought provocative and easily assimilated, would greatly benefit both the political-military analyst and the intuitive reader seeking a broad exposure to the security environment of Asia. Finally, without reservation, I strongly recommend The United States and Asia: Towards a New U.S. Strategy and Force Posture for all regional policymakers.



Disarming Strangers: Nuclear Diplomacy with North Korea. By Leon V. Sigal. Pages 322. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1998. Price $47.50, hardbound.

By Major James M. Minnich, Northeast Asia Foreign Area Officer

Dr. Leon V. Sigal, a career professor of thirty years, has published several literary works in the field of international relations and US foreign policy. In addition to Sigal's achievements in the academia, he has worked with the State Department as both an International Affairs Fellow (1979) and as a Special Assistant to the Director, Bureau of Political-Military Affairs (1980-81).

Leon Sigal, in his book Disarming Strangers, provides an authoritative account of the events surrounding the 1994 Agreed Framework Between the United States and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (North Korea). The Agreed Framework is a policy instrument designed to eliminate North Korea's developing nuclear weapons program. Drawing upon in-depth interviews with policymakers from the countries involved, Sigal does more than deliver the details of the issues centering on the signing of this agreement; he uncovers how the American aversion to cooperation, nearly led the world into a second Korean War. Sigal's thesis is that the US too often attempts to achieve policy ends through coercion rather than cooperation, and as a result the US unnecessarily provokes confrontation instead of ameliorating crises.

Specifically, Sigal compares the Bush and early Clinton Administrations' inability to alter North Korea's nuclear weapons program through the use of verbal intimidation, economic sanctions, and the show of military force, with the success that was eventually achieved following cooperative bilateral negotiations. Additionally, Sigal recognizes the necessity of the US to serve as lead nation for many international crises; however, he caveats that with a responsibility to work multilaterally, thereby permitting other regional actors a voice within their neighborhood.

In a final comparison, Sigal reminds the reader that in the past, negotiations have proved successful in eliminating nuclear weapons proliferation in at least eight other countries -- South Korea, Taiwan, Brazil, Argentina, South Africa, Ukraine, Belarus, and Kazakhstan.

Certainly it would be premature to declare the Agreed Framework successful. In fact eight years since its signing, offensive acts and verbal threats continue to slow its progress, whereby today, completion of the Agreement has been delayed by no less than seven years. Whereas many of these problems could be worked out through close association, the US has held North Korea at arm length, and consequently, not one high-level talk has taken place since the initiation of the Framework. In Sigal's closing remarks, he reminds us that among US vital interests, resolving issues of proliferation are paramount; and while this proliferation issue is well in the working, other problems are certain to arise. And if the US is to successfully resolve these crises, we must forego our persistent attitude of "criminalizing proliferation and demonizing so-called rogue states," in favor of a policy of positive engagement and negotiation.

To date, seven other authors have written books about North Korea's efforts to build nuclear weapons and US efforts to eliminate these programs. I have read each book, and while each is different, Sigal's thesis is well supported by facts, interviews and experiences. The reading flows and is easily digested. I recommend Sigal's Disarming Strangersfor both students of international relations and government officials vested with the responsibilities of international diplomacy.

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